Paul's Heart

Life As A Dad, And A Survivor

Archive for the category “Recreation”

Being Cautious


In the beginning of March, I reached out to the doctor that deals with my long term cancer issues.  I explained to him, that I was concerned about the Coronavirus outbreak, but my heart was set on travelling to see my daughters, one who was about to celebrate her birthday.

I knew I was high risk because of the different factors I have been exposed to over my life, but I also knew how to protect myself around contagions as that was once a job I had in my past.

Of course I had concerns for my children as this outbreak commenced.  Initial reports were that the virus did not have much of an impact on kids, other than at worst a “mild” reaction.  The bigger risk would be that they could be a carrier of the virus, which would of course put me at risk as well if they were unaware if they had Covid19 or not.

I was confident of what I needed to do.  But I still asked my doctor what else could I possibly do to keep myself safe on this trip.  Of course I got the usual “wash hands frequently”, wear a mask, avoid contact as much as possible.  It was the last thing on his list that caught me off guard.  “Make sure you wash your clothes first chance you can.”

Of course, that made sense.  Because the virus could spread with coughs and sneezes, and was able to live on surfaces for up to two days, that would mean the germs could live on any clothing exposed.

Think about it, how many times have you gotten sick, and wondered how?  You did all the proper hygiene stuff like washing hands or hand sanitizer, cough into the crook of your elbow, and avoided contact or sharing things.  But you still got sick.  Because when you got home, you did not get out of the clothing that you were wearing, which probably had been sneezed on or coughed on by someone, and you had not realized it.  And throughout the rest of the evening at home, you thought nothing of it.   You went about your business, which includes touching your face up to twenty times and hour with the hands that have touched your clothes probably just as often.

My doctor’s advice was perfect.  And honestly, for all the viruses every year, I have managed to avoid all of them.  And that is my plan.

Of course now, with businesses in the process of resuming operations again, a thought occurred to me.  We will all assume that restaurants will do their part to keep their facilities and staff as free from the virus as they can.  But what about other businesses?  Car part stores.  Book stores.  Clothing Stores.  The list goes on.  It is up to the business to make sure that everything is kept sanitized and that customers abide by recommendations.

But here is one thought to leave you with.  Male or female, if you go shopping for clothing, do you try clothing on at the store?  We have been told that the bacteria can last for days, so how do you know if the clothing you are trying on, or buying, has not been worn by someone asymptomatic for the virus?  Thereby exposing yourself to the virus.  Or, for the business owner, what do you do with clothing that has been tried on, not knowing if the customer had the virus?

This is all new territory for all of us and we are all learning as we go along.  I am not saying you should stay home, but there are things you need to think about, and most importantly, be cautious about.

It Is What It Is


The numbers of Covid19 cases and deaths are shocking.  We having some falsely compare Covid19 to the flu, to now national tragedies such as 9/11 and the Vietnam War.  Eventually, more events will get combined into those descriptions such as the Oklahoma City bombing and the Korean War.  Numbers of deceased from all of our 20th century historical events combined to be compared to this virus is not only tragic, but an embarrassment.

Nobody gets any pleasure dealing with negative statistics.  But it does absolutely no good, to “bury your head in the sand,” pretending that something is not happening, in spite of the overwhelming numbers that we are facing.

What does not help, is the relentless attack that is perceived by some on certain political leaders.  While not to blame for the virus itself, decisions made, or not made, do get tied directly to the politician who decides them, good or bad.  And there will be plenty of time for arm-chair quarterbacking who should have done what and when once, ONCE this is actually under control.  And there will have to be answers.

The biggest distraction or shiny object however, seems to be wanting to “lessen the blow” of the actual virus and death counts, so that it does not seem so bad.  What has not helped thus far, besides the many trolls putting out false information, is the lack of information in the beginning when action needed to be taken, but now, and mistakes in actual documentation of the virus.  Of course mistakes happen.  But now those mistakes are seen as an opportunity to present, approve, and convince misinformation.  How else better can you get than to make the numbers lower to prove something not as bad is it may be.

In the state of Pennsyvlania, it was reported a 200 person count difference in recordings of Covid19 deaths.  No detailed explanation was given, and it most certainly did not take away the fact that hundreds at the time did in fact die from the virus.  But the problem of whatever that error caused, has understandably given right to question the accuracy.

But in Florida, a different situation has occurred.  As local governments have taken action to restore activities in their communities, it has been discovered things are not as they seem to be.  According to CDC guidelines, and phased opening recommendations by the President Of The United States, certain criteria needs to be met in order to restore business eventually to “as usual.”  What happens if you do not meet that criteria, but are facing all kinds of pressure to “re open” anyway at any cost?

It seems that the Tampa Bay Times have discovered at least one answer to that. question.

Early in April, the TBT had tried to obtain information on cases of Covid19 in regard to staff and residents living in long-term care facilities, of course one of the higher risks concerns.  The information is normally submitted by the agency themselves, to the Agency of Health of Florida.  At the critical object of this information, the ability of loved ones to be able to tell if their family member was in a facility facing a Covid19 outrbreak.  The state refused to produce the names of any facility citing privacy concerns.  No names of residents are staff were being exposed, so what was the privacy concern?  That information could have been used by families to remove their loved one before exposure.

In any case, the state was sued on the grounds of violating the 1st Amendment in regard to freedom of the press and free speech, and the names of the facilities and the numbers were released.  That should have been the end of this kind of behavior.  The state got caught suppressing information.  And then something else happened.

During a press conference later on, April 13th, Florida Surgeon General Scott Rivkees was abruptly removed from Governor Ron DeSantis’ cabinet meeting after making the comment that social distancing, one of the main pillars of the CDC guidelines to prevent the spread of Covid19, would be necessary until a vaccine was created.  Hardly what a tourist-driven state wants to hear.  Clearly an effort of silencing, and minimizing what was happening in Florida was underway so as to help make it possible to appear ready to return back to normal.  An impossible task if it still looks like Covid19 is still on the rise.

The reality is, Covid19 is still on the rise in Florida.  The problem is now, we cannot prove it.  It can be proven that the information cannot be obtained.  The Tampa Bay Times has just reported on this issue.

Florida has stopped releasing statistics from the medical coroners which include Covid19 death information.  Numbers have not been released in over a week.  Sure, we have all seen the numbers rise in Florida.  It is documented.  But it does not include the numbers released by the coroner’s offices.  This means that the death toll in Florida has the potential of being 10% higher than is being reported by the Florida Department of Health.  The information states where the deceased is from, diagnosis of death and some other information, but not the name.  So, for officials to claim it is a privacy issue after decades of the coroner’s offices operating this way, suddenly no longer doing so because of the Covid19 crisis, is bullshit.

At issue it is believed, a distinction between residency.  In other words, well known for an inflated “snow bird” population, seniors who spend long periods of time over the winter months in the sunshine state, should not be included in the death toll if they die from the virus, because, technically, they are not Florida residents.  Therefore, their death should not count for Florida.

Think about that for a moment.  The whole purpose of a count like a death count, or virus caseload, is to be able to tell how severe an area is dealing with an outbreak.  But Florida wants to only publish the deaths of residents only which of course from a public relations standpoint, makes Florida much healthier and safer than it really is.

But is an estimated death count 10% higher than stated, a couple of hundred deaths that big of a deal?  Absolutely.  If deaths are still climbing at a rate higher than recommended by the CDC, then the state should not proceed with restoring activities and businesses, something the governments of Florida are anxious to do.

As the saying goes, “if a tree falls in the woods, does it make a sound?”

I relate two stories to help understand how stupid, foolish, flawed, and dangerous the thinking of Florida is.

The first, a hypothetical.  A hotel on the Island of Gibip, property of another country, has 70 Americans staying in it, the rest of the occupancy, all locals.  A tragic fire engulfs the hotel, killing all of the Americans who did not get out of the building.  The headlines in the local paper state a miracle, no deaths at the hotel.  In spite of the truth that 70 people did die, but because they were not local, that fact was not stated so as not to hurt the tourist industry of that island.

Okay, that was an absurd example.  Though not really a stretch.  People died, their deaths not counted because they were not citizens.  Let me give you a real example, because it did happen.

I worked on an industrialized plant site.  My department had four buildings.  We all had our home building, but were eligible to work overtime in all buildings.  One particular evening, I was working in another building, and I was injured, pretty bad too.  An investigation would follow, as well as treatment for the injury.  OSHA would be involved since there would be lost time involved.

When I got the injury report, and was told, TOLD to sign it, I noticed a huge error.  The location of the accident was listed as my “home” building, not where the injury had occurred.  I stated the error needed to be corrected, as it was an official document, and was told “no”.  In rare unity, even my supervisor had agreed, that the injury took place in the other building, that is what needed to be recorded.  Of course, my supervisor did not want an injury ding on his record.  More importantly, legally, it should have stated where the injury took place.

Now the problem and the motive.  The building that I was working in, was steamrolling toward an impressive injury-free record, and was soon to be presented a nice reward for their effort.  Truth be told, there were likely other injuries that did not get reported.  But my injury definitely would have taken away this recognition.  They needed my injury reported in another building.  Regardless that the equipment involved did not even exist in my building.

Of course there was scorn by my fellow workers from the other building for daring to screw with their record and reward.  It was my fault for getting hurt, not theirs.  In the end, I lost.  The injury was falsely recorded in my “home” building where it did not occur.  And thirty employees got a recognition for their injury-free record.  That is what mattered.

That was a true story.  And it definitely emphasizes the importance of recording information and why it matters.  No one wants this pandemic over more than me.  But hiding and ignoring facts does not make the virus go away.  Only truth and actions.  And our country has been making a difference.  Okay, not fast enough for some, but it has been working.

Florida decided to restore some activities, and soon others will follow.  In spite of our numbers climbing, and numbers being hidden.  The truth will come out eventually, either by lawsuit, or by history.  But by then it may be too late.

Numbers, Numbers, Numbers, And More Numbers


If there is one thing that cannot be refuted or denied, it is numbers.  And as it turns out, that is one of the comments made about my prior post.  One of the first responses I received was, “why don’t you talk about the recoveries?”, a common war cry to counter the constant attention drawn to the total cases, and worse, death tolls of the Corona Virus.

So I will make this a short post, and keep it just about the numbers as of April 15, 2020 (according to Worldmeters.info).

Total Corona Virus cases in the US:  624,893

Total Deaths in the US:  27,771

Total Recovered From Corona Virus:  47,715

Total US population:  331,002,651 (that’s 331 million for short)

Total Of US population still uninfected or immune to Corona Virus:  330,377,758

If the numbers are still too scary, perhaps if we put them in the form of a percentage, we might be able to see the rainbows and unicorns.

Death rate of US Corona Virus cases:  4.4%

Recovery rate of US Corona Virus cases:  7.5%

Current cases of Corona Virus in the US unresolved yet:  90.5%  (567,407)

Population of the US still not infected or immune to Corona Virus:  99.8%

These are all the current numbers as of 3:55pm, April 15, 2020.  I ask for apologies for not making such a big deal about the number of recoveries.  The number of recoveries are certainly encouraging, well, not so much the number, because it is so small in number compared to the overall population, but percentage wise, if, were were to just assume the current death and survival rates, having to assume that everyone in our country will have a chance at being infected as there is no vaccine, too many still refuse to follow CDC guidelines, and the monstrous push to return our society to normal:

Assumed survival of the population of the US after infection or immunity of Corona virus at 95.6%:  316,438,534

Assumed deaths of the population of the US after infection or immunity of Corona virus at 4.4%:  14,564,116

Sure it is nice to talk about the recoveries, and there will be many, the majority in fact.  But how many deaths is too many?  Especially if we still have the chance to prevent those deaths.  And the only way to prevent them, is to not deny the potential what is already a catastrophic loss.

Let the scientists do their job.  Please, let our leaders follow the advice of the scientists that know what they are talking about, and how to get there.  And maybe, just maybe, not just the recovery numbers will be higher, but more importantly, those infected will be much lower.  But this is not something we can afford to rush or force.

Post Navigation